Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.002863 0.002994 0.003128 0.003274 0.003430 0.003592 0.003771
2025-03-02 0.002657 0.002857 0.003068 0.003308 0.003574 0.003862 0.004197
2025-03-09 0.002499 0.002737 0.002995 0.003296 0.003640 0.004023 0.004484
2025-03-16 0.002372 0.002635 0.002926 0.003274 0.003681 0.004146 0.004720
2025-03-23 0.002252 0.002531 0.002846 0.003228 0.003684 0.004216 0.004889
2025-03-30 0.002152 0.002444 0.002777 0.003189 0.003688 0.004282 0.005050
2025-04-06 0.002086 0.002392 0.002746 0.003190 0.003737 0.004400 0.005275
2025-04-13 0.001974 0.002280 0.002638 0.003092 0.003659 0.004355 0.005290
2025-04-20 0.001925 0.002241 0.002615 0.003095 0.003705 0.004465 0.005504
2025-04-27 0.001900 0.002230 0.002625 0.003139 0.003800 0.004639 0.005810
2025-05-04 0.001841 0.002176 0.002579 0.003109 0.003800 0.004688 0.005947
2025-05-11 0.001793 0.002132 0.002544 0.003091 0.003813 0.004753 0.006108
2025-05-18 0.001742 0.002084 0.002503 0.003065 0.003814 0.004804 0.006252
2025-05-25 0.001720 0.002071 0.002506 0.003096 0.003893 0.004961 0.006553
2025-06-01 0.001681 0.002036 0.002479 0.003085 0.003913 0.005038 0.006742
2025-06-08 0.001641 0.001997 0.002446 0.003065 0.003920 0.005096 0.006903
2025-06-15 0.001593 0.001948 0.002398 0.003023 0.003894 0.005104 0.006989
2025-06-22 0.001551 0.001904 0.002355 0.002987 0.003875 0.005121 0.007088
2025-06-29 0.001525 0.001882 0.002340 0.002988 0.003907 0.005213 0.007306
2025-07-06 0.001465 0.001813 0.002261 0.002898 0.003807 0.005108 0.007209
2025-07-13 0.001444 0.001794 0.002250 0.002901 0.003841 0.005200 0.007429
2025-07-20 0.001437 0.001795 0.002264 0.002941 0.003928 0.005375 0.007789
2025-07-27 0.001405 0.001763 0.002232 0.002914 0.003916 0.005398 0.007902